Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis. We are evaluating a project that costs $1,390,000, has a six-year life, and has no salvage value. Assume that depreciation is straight-line to zero over the life of the project. Sales are projected at 110,000 units per year. Price per unit is $36, variable cost per unit is $22, and fixed costs are $975,000 per year. The tax rate is 35 percent, and we require a 15 percent return on this project.
a. Calculate the base-case cash flow and NPV. What is the sensitivity of NPV to changes in the sales figure? Explain what your answer tells you about a 500-unit decrease in projected sales.

b. What is the sensitivity of OCF to changes in the variable cost figure? Explain what your answer tells you about a $1 decrease in estimated variable costs.

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